Tuesday, 21 June 2016

Japan military on alert for possible North Korean ballistic missile launch

By Nobuhiro Kubo
North Korean leader Kim Jong Un watches the ballistic rocket launch drill of the Strategic Force of the Korean People's Army (KPA) at an unknown location.

Japan's military was on alert for a possible North Korean ballistic missile launch, a government source said on Tuesday, with media reporting its navy and anti-missile Patriot batteries have been told to shoot down any projectile heading for Japan.

North Korea appeared to have moved an intermediate-range missile to its east coast, but there were no signs of an imminent launch, South Korea's Yonhap News Agency reported, citing an unnamed government source.

A South Korean defense ministry official said it could not confirm the Yonhap report and said the military was watching the North's missile activities closely.

Tension in the region has been high since isolated North Korea conducted its fourth nuclear test in January and followed that with a satellite launch and test launches of various missiles.

Japan has put its anti-ballistic missile forces on alert several times this year after detecting signs of missile launches.

The Japanese government source said there were again signs North Korea might be preparing a launch of the intermediate-range Musudan missile, the same missile it attempted to launch in May, prompting the order for the military to go on alert.

South Korea's Foreign Ministry said if the North goes ahead with a launch it would again be in violation of U.N. resolutions and defying repeated warnings by the international community.

"It will further isolate the North from the international community," ministry spokesman Cho June-hyuck told a briefing.

The United Nations Security Council in March imposed tightened sanctions against North Korea over its pursuit of nuclear weapons.

North Korea has failed in all four attempts to launch the Musudan, which theoretically has the range to reach any part of Japan and the U.S. territory of Guam.

North Korea tried unsuccessfully to test launch the Musudan three times in April, according to U.S. and South Korean officials, while a May attempt failed a day after Japan put its military on alert.

North Korea is believed to have up to 30 Musudan missiles, according to South Korean media, which officials said were first deployed in around 2007, although the North had never attempted to test-fire them until this year.
From:
Nobuhiro, Kubo. "Japan military on alert for possible North Korean ballistic missile launch." Reuters. Thomson Reuters, 21 June 2016. Web. 21 June 2016.

Response
"It will further isolate the North from the international community.”

I didn’t think that was possible. With Korea’s nuclear tests drawing the ire of the near entirety of the Western world, its atrocious human rights records alienating even its once-close Communist allies, one has to wonder at what point exactly North Korea is rendered “isolated” from its fellow states. At what point it will no longer be able to act with impunity, at what point the world will be able to establish some sort of leverage Kim Jong Un could possibly care about.


This could be the fifth North Korean nuclear test. Just a few years ago, such a prospect was outrageous—one questioned whether North Korea would ever even go nuclear. And what we’ve seen is the redrawing of a line that was meant to be uncrossable.

Monday, 13 June 2016

China Tries to Redistribute Education to the Poor, Igniting Class Conflict

By Javier C. Hernandez

Students in Mianyang, China, did review work in May as they prepared for the national college entrance exam, known as the gaokao. The exam gives the admissions system a meritocratic sheen, but critics say it reinforces the divide between urban and rural students. 
BEIJING — Cheng Nan has spent years trying to ensure that her 16-year-old daughter gets into a college near their home in Nanjing, an affluent city in eastern China. She wakes her at 5:30 a.m. to study math and Chinese poetry and packs her schedule so tightly that she has only 20 days of summer vacation.

So when officials announced a plan to admit more students from impoverished regions and fewer from Nanjing to local universities, Ms. Cheng was furious. She joined more than 1,000 parents to protest outside government offices, chanting slogans like “Fairness in education!” and demanding a meeting with the provincial governor.

“Why should they eat from our bowls?” Ms. Cheng, 46, an art editor at a newspaper, said in an interview. “We are just as hard-working as other families.”

Parents in at least two dozen Chinese cities have taken to the streets in recent weeks to denounce a government effort to expand access to higher education for students from less developed regions. The unusually fierce backlash is testing the Communist Party’s ability to manage class conflict, as well as the political acumen of its leader, Xi Jinping.

The nation’s cutthroat university admissions process has long been a source of anxiety and acrimony. But the breadth and intensity of the demonstrations, many of them organized on social media, appear to have taken the authorities by surprise.

At issue is China’s state-run system of higher education, in which top schools are concentrated in big prosperous cities, mostly on the coast, and weaker, underfunded schools dominate the nation’s interior.

Placement is determined almost exclusively by a single national exam, the gaokao, which was administered across China starting on Tuesday. The test is considered so important to one’s fate that many parents begin preparing their children for it before kindergarten. The government has threatened to imprison cheaters for up to seven years.

The exam gives the admissions system a meritocratic sheen, but the government also reserves most spaces in universities for students in the same city or province, in effect making it harder for applicants from the hinterlands to get into the nation’s best schools.
The authorities have sought to address the problem in recent years by admitting more students from underrepresented regions to the top colleges. Some provinces also award extra points on the test to students representing ethnic minorities.

This spring, the Ministry of Education announced that it would set aside a record 140,000 spaces — about 6.5 percent of spots in the top schools — for students from less developed provinces. But the ministry said it would force the schools to admit fewer local students to make room.

Against the backdrop of slowing economic growth, the plan set off a flurry of protests and counterprotests.

In Wuhan, a major city in central China known for its good universities, parents surrounded government offices to demand more spots for local students. In Harbin, a northeastern city, parents marched through the streets, calling the new admissions mandate unjust.

But in Luoyang, a city in Henan Province, one of China’s poorest and most populous, protesters countered that children should be treated with “equal love.” And in Baoding, a few hours’ drive southwest of Beijing, parents accused the government of coddling the urban elite at the expense of rural students.

“When they need water, land and crops, they come and take it,” said Lu Jian, 42, an electrician who participated in the protests in Baoding. “But they won’t let our kids study in Beijing.”

The government has responded cautiously, censoring news reports of the outcry and ordering the police to contain the demonstrations.

Analysts said the protests posed a delicate challenge for President Xi, whose signature slogan, the “China dream,” is a vaguely defined call for national rejuvenation that many associate with a promise of educational opportunity.

“The traditional Chinese dream is the hope of advancement for children through a relatively open, meritocratic and egalitarian system,” said Carl F. Minzner, a professor of law at Fordham University and an expert on Chinese government. “Popular outrage is triggered when there’s a perception that this is being challenged.”

Mr. Xi has argued that high levels of inequality in China could shake the party’s hold on power, and his government has sought to ease frustration in poorer areas by investing in education, health care and social services. But party leaders are also wary of alienating a growing and increasingly outspoken urban middle class.

“The question is how far are they willing to go in reallocating the privileges enjoyed by established urbanites, many of them state employees,” Professor Minzner said.

Over the past two decades, the government has opened hundreds of new institutions of higher education, and university enrollment surged to 26.2 million in 2015 from 3.4 million in 1998, though much of the growth has been in three-year polytechnic programs.

At the same time, job prospects for college graduates in China have dimmed in recent years. That has left parents worried about wasting their life savings on substandard schools and even more desperate to get their children into the better ones.

Dissatisfaction with the gaokao (pronounced GOW-kow) is also rising. The test, modeled after China’s old imperial civil service exam, was intended to enhance social mobility and open up the universities to anyone who scored high enough. But critics say the system now has the opposite effect, reinforcing the divide between urban and rural students.

The top universities in big cities like Beijing, Shanghai and Nanjing are the most likely to lead to jobs and the hardest to get into. Students from less developed regions are vastly underrepresented at these colleges. That is because they attended schools with less money for good teachers or modern technology and because the admissions preference for local applicants means they often need higher scores on the gaokao than urban students.
“It is a system that benefits the privileged at the expense of the disadvantaged,” Sida Liu, a sociologist at the University of Toronto, wrote in an email. “Without the improvement of schools in these regions, I would not expect any major change in educational inequality in China.”

The government’s plan to address inequality by taking university spots away from local students, though, tapped into frustration among parents in China’s most modern cities who are unhappy with a shortage of high-quality schools.

Xiong Bingqi, vice president of the 21st Century Education Research Institute in Beijing, described the backlash as “an outburst of a long-repressed grudge,” adding that a drastic overhaul of the system should be considered.

A set of national universities could rely on the gaokao to admit students from across the country, he suggested, while provincial colleges could focus on recruiting local students so they would look more like public universities in the United States.

But any change is likely to draw criticism, given limited resources and ethnic and regional prejudices. A common complaint, for example, is that students from Xinjiang, the far western region that is home to China’s Muslim ethnic Uighur population, receive a subpar education and should not get extra exam points.

A group of parents in Beijing has filed a complaint with the education ministry contending that minority students at an elite high school who had been recruited from across China should not be treated as residents of the city, and that, instead, spaces should be freed up in Beijing’s universities for other local children.

In poorer provinces like Henan, public anger is often directed at local governments for underinvesting in education and therefore dooming children in a society with a wide gap between rich and poor.


“When students from Beijing get into top universities and our students fail to do so, some become migrant workers,” said an open letter circulated by parents in Henan last month. “Who is to blame?”

From:
Hernandez, Javier C. "China Tries to Redistribute Education to the Poor, Igniting Class Conflict." NYTimes. New York Times, 13 June 2016. Web. 13 June 2016.

Response
Ah, what is more assuring than hearing the words "class conflict" associated with China? Indeed, Xi Jinping's latest efforts to what amounts effectively to affirmative action for low-income families is drawing a backlash that is threatening to expose severe class tensions that have festered since China's extremely meteoric, extremely asymmetric, economic growth.

One has to wonder what exactly is on the General Secretary's agenda for his "Chinese Dream." In fact, I can't even decide whether affirmative action is Communist or not. Certainly it bestows an "unearned" advantage upon certain people groups, but isn't that what happens in practice anyways? Furthermore, since the government largely controls the distribution of resources, why not education?

The gaokao, like the American SAT and the French baccalauréat, has garnered considerable controversy over the years. Akin to the baccalauréat, what was originally designed to promote a meritorious system of social mobility is now widely perceived as fulfilling a completely countercurrent role as the discrepancies in education quality across China become more and more pronounced. Let's also not forget that standardized test scores, especially with the SAT, and family incomes have one of the strongest correlations--well, ever.

The point I want to make is this: affirmative action, whether in the US or China, serves its function when those who benefit from it are encouraged to return to their low-income, low educational quality communities as professionals. Too often, they simply join the elitist institutions they initially sought to fight. It's not just about creating opportunities for some people. It's about using those opportunities as an investment to drive these communities up out of poverty and all the other plagues that accompany it.

That, of course, is my bias. Affirmative action is broken in the current state it is in, and China should be careful not to make America's mistake. The writer of this article did a good job getting viewpoints from both sides of the issue, but it seems that he leans towards reforming the Chinese educational system. He points out a number of glaring flaws, and subtly hints that this may be an improvement--let's not forget that the Times does have a liberal bent.

Tuesday, 7 June 2016

South Korea courts isolated North's old friends in push for change

By Jack Kim

South Korean Foreign Minister Yun Byung-se (2nd R) exchanges documents with his Russian counterpart Sergei Lavrov (L) during a memorandum of understanding signing ceremony in the presence of South Korean President Park Geun-hye (R) and Russian President Vladimir Putin
South Korea's foreign minister will visit Moscow next week after touring Cuba, Uganda and Iran as part of a push to enlist North Korea's old allies to press for change in the isolated state, Seoul said on Tuesday. 
North Korea has come under growing diplomatic pressure since its January nuclear test and a space rocket launch in February, which led to a new U.N. Security Council resolution in March tightening sanctions against Pyongyang.
"The minister's visit to Russia following Iran, Uganda and Cuba is part of diplomatic efforts to enlist the international community to the effort to bring about change in North Korea on all fronts," South Korean Foreign Ministry spokesman Cho June-hyuck told a briefing.
South Korea said last week that Ugandan President Yoweri Museveni has pledged to halt security and military cooperation with North Korea, following a summit in Kampala with South Korean President Park Geun-hye.
Foreign Minister Yun Byung-se visited Cuba, a first for the country's top diplomat, and held talks with his counterpart, Bruno Rodriguez, at the weekend. South Korean media said Yun conveyed Seoul's hope for establishing diplomatic ties with Havana.
In May, Park made the first visit to Iran by a South Korean leader in the hope of broadening political and commercial ties after Iran emerged from years of economic sanctions in January. 
Cho also said Poland had stopped issuing visas for North Korean workers amid concern that Pyongyang may be subjecting them to conditions that violated their human rights. 
An official at the Polish embassy in Seoul said Poland had not issued any work visas for North Korean citizens this year, in reaction to the North's nuclear test and rocket launch at the beginning of the year. 
North and South Korea are technically still at war because their 1950-53 conflict ended in an armistice, not a peace treaty.
North Korea has 53 embassies and overseas missions, according to South Korean government data, some of which have been notorious for engaging in business, including illicit activities.
Much of North Korea's support at the United Nations is from fellow members of the Cold War-era Non-Aligned Movement. It has enjoyed consistent backing in U.N. General Assembly votes on human rights from a core group including Belarus, Cuba, Egypt, Iran, Syria, Vietnam, Zimbabwe and Venezuela.

U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry, speaking in Beijing at the end of high-level talks between the United States and China, said on Tuesday the two countries were determined to fully enforce sanctions against North Korea.
From:
Kim, Jack. "South Korea courts isolated North's old friends in push for change." Reuters. Thomson Reuters, 7 June 2016. Web. 7 June 2016.

Response
A few months ago, President Park Geun-hye raised eyebrows when she appeared behind Xi Jinping during a celebration in China, standing in the place usually occupied by the North Korean dictator, Kim Jong-un. Some hailed the move as a shrewd maneuver to undermine support for North Korea amongst its international allies.

Surely, President Park Geun-hye's government is pursuing a more aggressive diplomatic policy that did its predecessor, seeking to emerge from under Western wings and establish itself as its own force in southeast Asian relations.

Certainly, South Korea is in many ways a more favourable ally than North Korea, and especially for China, it would be within its national interest to build stronger ties with major powers in the area. It is yet to be seen whether these new efforts will serve to alienate the United States and the South's traditional allies, but history indicates that this is unlikely. In any case, South Korea has followed the Obama administration's lead in establishing contact with nations like Cuba and Iran.